MATERIALS & METHODS: Data were obtained retrospectively from all patients who underwent both CT examinations - brain (frontal bone), thorax (T7), abdomen (L3), spine (T7 & L3) or pelvis (left hip) - and DXA between 2014 and 2018 in our centre. To ensure comparability, the period between CT and DXA studies must not exceed one year. Correlations between HU values and t-scores were calculated using Pearson's correlation. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were generated, and the area under the curve (AUC) was used to determine threshold HU values for predicting osteoporosis.
RESULTS: The inclusion criteria were met by 1043 CT examinations (136 head, 537 thorax, 159 lumbar and 151 left hip). The left hip consistently provided the most robust correlations (r = 0.664-0.708, p thorax T7 and lumbar L3 showed average correlations (range of r values is 0.497-0.679, p 0.05.
CONCLUSION: HU values derived from the hip, T7 and L3 provided a good to moderate correlation to t-scores with a good prediction for osteoporosis. The suggested optimal thresholds may be used in clinical settings after external validations are performed.
METHODS: This study included 344 patients from the Korean Obstructive Lung Disease (KOLD) cohort. External validation was performed on a cohort of 112 patients. In total, 525 chest CT-based radiomics features were semi-automatically extracted. The five most useful features for survival prediction were selected by least absolute shrinkage and selection operation (LASSO) Cox regression analysis and used to generate a RS. The ability of the RS for classifying COPD patients into high or low mortality risk groups was evaluated with the Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and Cox proportional hazards regression analysis.
RESULTS: The five features remaining after the LASSO analysis were %LAA-950, AWT_Pi10_6th, AWT_Pi10_heterogeneity, %WA_heterogeneity, and VA18mm. The RS demonstrated a C-index of 0.774 in the discovery group and 0.805 in the validation group. Patients with a RS greater than 1.053 were classified into the high-risk group and demonstrated worse overall survival than those in the low-risk group in both the discovery (log-rank test, < 0.001; hazard ratio [HR], 5.265) and validation groups (log-rank test, < 0.001; HR, 5.223). For both groups, RS was significantly associated with overall survival after adjustments for patient age and body mass index.
CONCLUSIONS: A radiomics approach for survival prediction and risk stratification in COPD patients is feasible, and the constructed radiomics model demonstrated acceptable performance. The RS derived from chest CT data of COPD patients was able to effectively identify those at increased risk of mortality.
KEY POINTS: • A total of 525 chest CT-based radiomics features were extracted and the five radiomics features of %LAA-950, AWT_Pi10_6th, AWT_Pi10_heterogeneity, %WA_heterogeneity, and VA18mm were selected to generate a radiomics model. • A radiomics model for predicting survival of COPD patients demonstrated reliable performance with a C-index of 0.774 in the discovery group and 0.805 in the validation group. • Radiomics approach was able to effectively identify COPD patients with an increased risk of mortality, and patients assigned to the high-risk group demonstrated worse overall survival in both the discovery and validation groups.