METHODS: Plasma and serum samples were collected from adults participating in four independent studies at different time points, ranging from several days up to 14 months post-SARS-CoV-2 infection. The primary outcome measure was to quantify SARS-CoV-2 antigens, including the S1 subunit of spike, full-length spike, and nucleocapsid, in participant samples. The presence of 34 commonly reported PASC symptoms during the postacute period was determined from participant surveys or chart reviews of electronic health records.
RESULTS: Of the 1569 samples analysed from 706 individuals infected with SARS-CoV-2, 21% (95% CI, 18-24%) were positive for either S1, spike, or nucleocapsid. Spike was predominantly detected, and the highest proportion of samples was spike positive (20%; 95% CI, 18-22%) between 4 and 7 months postinfection. In total, 578 participants (82%) reported at least one of the 34 PASC symptoms included in our analysis ≥1 month postinfection. Cardiopulmonary, musculoskeletal, and neurologic symptoms had the highest reported prevalence in over half of all participants, and among those participants, 43% (95% CI, 40-45%) on average were antigen-positive. Among the participants who reported no ongoing symptoms (128, 18%), antigen was detected in 28 participants (21%). The presence of antigen was associated with the presence of one or more PASC symptoms, adjusting for sex, age, time postinfection, and cohort (OR, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.4-2.2).
DISCUSSION: The findings of this multicohort study indicate that SARS-CoV-2 antigens can be detected in the blood of a substantial proportion of individuals up to 14 months after infection. While approximately one in five asymptomatic individuals was antigen-positive, roughly half of all individuals reporting ongoing cardiopulmonary, musculoskeletal, and neurologic symptoms were antigen-positive.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the likelihood of improvement among persons with likely LC.
DESIGN: Prospective, multisite cohort study (RECOVER-Adult [Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery]).
SETTING: 83 U.S.-based sites across 33 states; Washington, DC; and Puerto Rico.
PARTICIPANTS: 1019 persons in RECOVER-Adult with likely LC (LC Research Index [LCRI] ≥11) 12 months after first SARS-CoV-2 infection.
MEASUREMENTS: The primary outcome was time until 2 consecutive study visits with LCRI less than 11. Secondary outcomes were time until LCRI measure reduced 50% or more and quality of life was good or better, and LCRI decreased to 0. Unadjusted estimates of cumulative incidence and adjusted marginal cumulative incidence by age, sex, SARS-CoV-2 wave, and LC subtype were reported across all follow-up time points.
RESULTS: An estimated 36.2% (95% CI, 33.0% to 39.5%) met the primary outcome by 24 months after infection, and 50.1% (CI, 46.1% to 54.0%) met the primary outcome by 36 months. An estimated 56.4% (CI, 52.2% to 60.4%) and 26.9% (CI, 23.3% to 30.5%), respectively, met the 2 secondary outcomes by 36 months. Among persons who still reported likely LC at 18 months and 24 months after first infection, relative timing of subsequent symptom improvement was similar.
LIMITATION: Findings in this observational cohort are interpretable in a population with prevalent likely LC and do not address causal relationships between individual characteristics and symptom improvement.
CONCLUSION: Among persons with likely LC 12 months after initial SARS-CoV-2 infection, one half experience meaningful reductions in symptoms by 36 months, whereas a quarter experience complete remission of symptoms. These findings underscore both the potential for natural recovery and the urgent need for placebo-controlled therapeutic intervention trials.
PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE: National Institutes of Health.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate sex differences in the risk of developing long COVID among adults with SARS-CoV-2 infection.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This cohort study used data from the National Institutes of Health (NIH) Researching COVID to Enhance Recovery (RECOVER)-Adult cohort, which consists of individuals enrolled in and prospectively followed up at 83 sites in 33 US states plus Washington, DC, and Puerto Rico. Data were examined from all participants enrolled between October 29, 2021, and July 5, 2024, who had a qualifying study visit 6 months or more after their initial SARS-CoV-2 infection.
EXPOSURE: Self-reported sex (male, female) assigned at birth.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: Development of long COVID, measured using a self-reported symptom-based questionnaire and scoring guideline at the first study visit that occurred at least 6 months after infection. Propensity score matching was used to estimate risk ratios (RRs) and risk differences (95% CIs). The full model included demographic and clinical characteristics and social determinants of health, and the reduced model included only age, race, and ethnicity.
RESULTS: Among 12 276 participants who had experienced SARS-CoV-2 infection (8969 [73%] female; mean [SD] age at infection, 46 [15] years), female sex was associated with higher risk of long COVID in the primary full (RR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.06-1.62) and reduced (RR, 1.44; 95% CI, 1.17-1.77) models. This finding was observed across all age groups except 18 to 39 years (RR, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.72-1.49). Female sex was associated with significantly higher overall long COVID risk when the analysis was restricted to nonpregnant participants (RR, 1.50; 95%: CI, 1.27-1.77). Among participants aged 40 to 54 years, the risk ratio was 1.42 (95% CI, 0.99-2.03) in menopausal female participants and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.15-1.83) in nonmenopausal female participants compared with male participants.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: In this prospective cohort study of the NIH RECOVER-Adult cohort, female sex was associated with an increased risk of long COVID compared with male sex, and this association was age, pregnancy, and menopausal status dependent. These findings highlight the need to identify biological mechanisms contributing to sex specificity to facilitate risk stratification, targeted drug development, and improved management of long COVID.