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  1. Sifat I, Ghafoor A, Ah Mand A
    J Behav Exp Finance, 2021 Jun;30:100498.
    PMID: 36570102 DOI: 10.1016/j.jbef.2021.100498
    We report new evidence that speculation in energy and precious metal futures are more prevalent in crisis periods and even more so during the COVID-19 pandemic. In contrast, agricultural futures attract more hedging pressure. Post-GFC patterns mirror the 1980s' recessions. Using quantile regression on a long-horizon sample we also find that speculative pressure generally coincides with abnormal returns in normal circumstances but not in the current pandemic. Instead, volatility is strongly and often non-linearly associated with speculation across instruments.
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