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  1. Ehteram M, Sammen SS, Panahi F, Sidek LM
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2021 Dec;28(46):66171-66192.
    PMID: 34331228 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-15223-4
    The agricultural sector is one of the most important sources of CO2 emissions. Thus, the current study predicted CO2 emissions based on data from the agricultural sectors of 25 provinces in Iran. The gross domestic product (GDP), the square of the GDP (GDP2), energy use, and income inequality (Gini index) were used as the inputs. The study used support vector machine (SVM) models to predict CO2 emissions. Multiobjective algorithms (MOAs), such as the seagull optimization algorithm (MOSOA), salp swarm algorithm (MOSSA), bat algorithm (MOBA), and particle swarm optimization (MOPSO) algorithm, were used to perform three important tasks for improving the SVM models. Additionally, an inclusive multiple model (IMM) used the outputs of the MOSOA, MOSSA, MOBA, and MOPSO algorithms as the inputs for predicting CO2 emissions. It was observed that the best kernel function based on the SVM-MOSOA was the radial function. Additionally, the best input combination used all the gross domestic product (GDP), squared GDP (GDP2), energy use, and income inequality (Gini index) inputs. The results indicated that the quality of the obtained Pareto front based on the MOSOA was better than those of the other algorithms. Regarding the obtained results, the IMM model decreased the mean absolute errors of the SVM-MOSOA, SVM-MOSSA, SVM-MOBA, and SVM-PSO models by 24, 31, 69, and 76%, respectively, during the training stage. The current study showed that the IMM model was the best model for predicting CO2 emissions.
  2. Ehteram M, Panahi F, Ahmed AN, Huang YF, Kumar P, Elshafie A
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2022 Feb;29(7):10675-10701.
    PMID: 34528189 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-16301-3
    Evaporation is a crucial component to be established in agriculture management and water engineering. Evaporation prediction is thus an essential issue for modeling researchers. In this study, the multilayer perceptron (MLP) was used for predicting daily evaporation. MLP model is as one of the famous ANN models with multilayers for predicting different target variables. A new strategy was used to enhance the accuracy of the MLP model. Three multi-objective algorithms, namely, the multi-objective salp swarm algorithm (MOSSA), the multi-objective crow algorithm (MOCA), and the multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO), were respectively and separately coupled to the MLP model for determining the model parameters, the best input combination, and the best activation function. In this study, three stations in Malaysia, namely, the Muadzam Shah (MS), the Kuala Terengganu (KT), and the Kuantan (KU), were selected for the prediction of the respective daily evaporation. The spacing (SP) and maximum spread (MS) indices were used to evaluate the quality of generated Pareto front (PF) by the algorithms. The lower SP and higher MS showed better PF for the models. It was observed that the MOSSA had higher MS and lower SP than the other algorithms, at all stations. The root means square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), percent bias (PBIAS), and Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) quantifiers were used to compare the ability of the models with each other. The MLP-MOSSA had reduced RMSE compared to the MLP-MOCA, MLP-MOPSO, and MLP models by 18%, 25%, and 35%, respectively, at the MS station. The MAE of the MLP-MOSSA was 2.7%, 4.1%, and 26%, respectively lower than those of the MLP-MOCA, MLP-MOPSO, and MLP models at the KU station. The MLP-MOSSA showed lower MAE than the MLP-MOCA, MLP-MOPSO, and MLP models by 16%, 18%, and 19%, respectively, at the KT station. An uncertainty analysis was performed based on the input and parameter uncertainty. The results indicated that the MLP-MOSSA had the lowest uncertainty among the models. Also, the input uncertainty was lower than the parameter uncertainty. The general results indicated that the MLP-MOSSA had the high efficiency for predicting evaporation.
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