Delayed graft function (DGF) after kidney transplantation is associated with inferior outcomes and higher healthcare costs. DGF is currently defined as the requirement for dialysis within seven days post-transplant; however, this definition is subjective and nonspecific. Novel biomarkers have potential to improve objectivity and enable earlier diagnosis of DGF. We reviewed the literature to describe the range of novel biomarkers previously studied to predict DGF. We identified marked heterogeneity and low reporting quality of published studies. Among the novel biomarkers, serum NGAL had the greatest potential as a biomarker to predict DGF, but requires further assessment and validation through larger scale studies of diagnostic test performance. Given inadequacies in the dialysis-based definition, coupled with the high incidence and impact of DGF, such studies should be pursued.
The burden of premature death and health loss from ESRD is well described. Less is known regarding the burden of cardiovascular disease attributable to reduced GFR. We estimated the prevalence of reduced GFR categories 3, 4, and 5 (not on RRT) for 188 countries at six time points from 1990 to 2013. Relative risks of cardiovascular outcomes by three categories of reduced GFR were calculated by pooled random effects meta-analysis. Results are presented as deaths for outcomes of cardiovascular disease and ESRD and as disability-adjusted life years for outcomes of cardiovascular disease, GFR categories 3, 4, and 5, and ESRD. In 2013, reduced GFR was associated with 4% of deaths worldwide, or 2.2 million deaths (95% uncertainty interval [95% UI], 2.0 to 2.4 million). More than half of these attributable deaths were cardiovascular deaths (1.2 million; 95% UI, 1.1 to 1.4 million), whereas 0.96 million (95% UI, 0.81 to 1.0 million) were ESRD-related deaths. Compared with metabolic risk factors, reduced GFR ranked below high systolic BP, high body mass index, and high fasting plasma glucose, and similarly with high total cholesterol as a risk factor for disability-adjusted life years in both developed and developing world regions. In conclusion, by 2013, cardiovascular deaths attributed to reduced GFR outnumbered ESRD deaths throughout the world. Studies are needed to evaluate the benefit of early detection of CKD and treatment to decrease these deaths.