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  1. Norazrin R., Ahmad Shukri Yahaya, Hazrul Abdul Hamid
    MyJurnal
    The aim of this study is to predict the next day PM10 concentration using Bayesian Regression with noninformative
    prior and conjugate prior models. The descriptive analysis of PM10, temperature, relative humidity,
    nitrogen dioxide (NO2), sulphur dioxide (SO2), carbon monoxide (CO) and ozone (O3) are also included. A case
    study used two-years of air quality monitoring data at three (3) monitoring stations to predict the future PM10
    concentration with seven parameters (PM10, temperature, relative humidity, NO2, SO2, CO, and O3). The descriptive
    analysis showed that the highest mean PM10 concentration occurred at Klang station in 2011 (71.30 µg/m3
    ) followed
    by 2012 (68.82 µg/m3
    ). The highest mean PM10 concentration was at Nilai in 2012 (68.86 µg/m3
    ) followed by 2011
    (66.29µg/m3
    ) respectively. The results showed that the Bayesian regression model used a conjugate prior with a
    normal-gamma prior which was a good model to predict the PM10 concentration for most study stations with (R2 =
    0.67 at Jerantut station), (R2 = 0.61 at Nilai station) and (R2 = 0.66 at Klang station) respectively compared to a
    non-informative prior.
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