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  1. Siti Noratiqah Mohamad Deros, Arnis Asmat, Shattri Mansor
    MyJurnal
    Temporal distribution of forecasted wind speed is important to assess wind capacity for wind-related
    technology purposes. Regional wind energy estimation needs the development of wind pattern to monitor
    and forecast temporal wind behaviour. Temporal wind in Malaysia mainly depends on monsoonal factor
    that circulates yearly and each monsoon derives distinct character of wind. This paper aims to develop a
    model of wind speed pattern from historical wind speed data. Then, the model was used to forecast 5-years
    seasonal wind speed and identify temporal distribution. Wind speed model development and forecast
    was performed by identifying the best combination of wind speed seasonal component using Seasonal
    Auto-regressive and Moving Average (SARIMA) model. Thus, three distribution models, Lognormal,
    Weibull and Gamma models, were exploited to further observe consistency using Kolmogorov-Smirnov
    goodness-of-fit test. The best fit model to represent seasonal wind distribution in each monsoon season
    at Pulau Langkawi, Malaysia, is Log-normal distribution (0.04679-0.108).
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