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  1. Danpanichkul P, Ng CH, Tan DJH, Wijarnpreecha K, Huang DQ, Noureddin M, et al.
    Clin Gastroenterol Hepatol, 2024 Sep;22(9):1947-1949.e3.
    PMID: 38428708 DOI: 10.1016/j.cgh.2024.02.011
    Alcohol is a substance that impacts premature mortality and morbidity.1 The liver is invariably subjected to the impact of alcohol, which can result in cirrhosis and cancer. Alcohol also has detrimental effects that extend beyond the liver. While traditionally associated with advanced age, emerging data reported a rising burden of cancers and alcohol-associated liver disease in the young.1-3 Thus, the primary objective was to evaluate the trend of alcohol-associated cirrhosis and cancer in young and middle-aged adults (aged 15-49) utilizing the Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019.4 We chose the age group less than 50 years old based on the definition of early-onset cancer and the inherent selection of the age group in the GBD database.4-6 The detailed methods are provided in the Supplementary Appendix. Briefly, data were sourced from population-based cancer registries, vital registration systems, or verbal autopsy studies. Verbal autopsy is a well-established approach for monitoring health, providing valuable information on mortality patterns and the reasons behind deaths in areas lacking robust medical death certification processes. The researchers employed the Cause of Death Ensemble model to estimate the burden linked to cancer and cirrhosis associated with alcohol use.
  2. Lim WH, Ng CH, Tan DJH, Xiao J, Fu CE, Ong C, et al.
    Transplantation, 2024 Feb 01;108(2):473-482.
    PMID: 37439778 DOI: 10.1097/TP.0000000000004718
    BACKGROUND: Liver transplantation (LT) offers patients with decompensated cirrhosis the best chance at long-term survival. With the rising prevalence of diabetes, further clarity is needed on the impact of receiving a liver allograft from a donor with diabetes on post-LT outcomes. This study aims to evaluate the impact of donor diabetes on clinical outcomes after LT.

    METHODS: This is a retrospective analysis of the United Network for Organ Sharing registry data of LT recipients from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2021. Outcomes analysis was performed using Cox proportional model for all-cause mortality and graft failure. Confounding was reduced by coarsened exact matching causal inference analysis.

    RESULTS: Of 66 960 donors identified, 7178 (10.7%) had diabetes. Trend analysis revealed a longitudinal increase in the prevalence of donor diabetes ( P  

  3. Lim WH, Tay P, Ng CH, Tan DJH, Ong C, Koh JH, et al.
    Aliment Pharmacol Ther, 2024 Mar;59(6):730-741.
    PMID: 38303565 DOI: 10.1111/apt.17888
    BACKGROUND: Although alcohol abstinence may be an effective intervention for alcohol-associated cirrhosis, its association with prognosis has not been systematically assessed or quantified.

    AIMS: To determine the prevalence of alcohol abstinence, factors associated with alcohol abstinence and the impact of abstinence on morbidity and overall survival in people with alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

    METHODS: We searched Medline and Embase from inception to 15 April 2023 for prospective and retrospective cohort studies describing alcohol abstinence in people with known alcohol-associated cirrhosis. Meta-analysis of proportions for pooled estimates was performed. The method of inverse variance, employing a random-effects model, was used to pool the hazard ratio (HR) comparing outcomes of abstinent against non-abstinent individuals with alcohol-associated cirrhosis.

    RESULTS: We included 19 studies involving 18,833 people with alcohol-associated cirrhosis. The prevalence of alcohol abstinence was 53.8% (CI: 44.6%-62.7%). Over a mean follow-up duration of 48.6 months, individuals who continued to consume alcohol had significantly lower overall survival compared to those who were abstinent (HR: 0.611, 95% CI: 0.506-0.738). These findings remained consistent in sensitivity/subgroup analysis for the presence of decompensation, study design and studies that assessed abstinence throughout follow-up. Alcohol abstinence was associated with a significantly lower risk of hepatic decompensation (HR: 0.612, 95% CI: 0.473-0.792).

    CONCLUSIONS: Alcohol abstinence is associated with substantial improvement in overall survival in alcohol-associated cirrhosis. However, only half of the individuals with known alcohol-associated cirrhosis are abstinent.

  4. Chong B, Jayabaskaran J, Kong G, Chan YH, Chin YH, Goh R, et al.
    EClinicalMedicine, 2023 Mar;57:101850.
    PMID: 36864983 DOI: 10.1016/j.eclinm.2023.101850
    BACKGROUND: Malnutrition and obesity are interdependent pathologies along the same spectrum. We examined global trends and projections of disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) and deaths from malnutrition and obesity until 2030.

    METHODS: Using data from the 2019 Global Burden of Disease study involving 204 countries and territories, trends in DALYs and deaths were described for obesity and malnutrition from 2000 to 2019, stratified by geographical regions (as defined by WHO) and Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Malnutrition was defined according to the 10th revision of International Classification of Diseases codes for nutritional deficiencies, stratified by malnutrition type. Obesity was measured via body mass index (BMI) using metrics related to national and subnational estimates, defined as BMI ≥25 kg/m2. Countries were stratified into low, low-middle, middle, high-middle, and high SDI bands. Regression models were constructed to predict DALYs and mortality up to 2030. Association between age-standardised prevalence of the diseases and mortality was also assessed.

    FINDINGS: In 2019, age-standardised malnutrition-related DALYs was 680 (95% UI: 507-895) per 100,000 population. DALY rates decreased from 2000 to 2019 (-2.86% annually), projected to fall 8.4% from 2020 to 2030. Africa and low SDI countries observed highest malnutrition-related DALYs. Age-standardised obesity-related DALY estimates were 1933 (95% UI: 1277-2640). Obesity-related DALYs rose 0.48% annually from 2000 to 2019, predicted to increase by 39.8% from 2020 to 2030. Highest obesity-related DALYs were in Eastern Mediterranean and middle SDI countries.

    INTERPRETATION: The ever-increasing obesity burden, on the backdrop of curbing the malnutrition burden, is predicted to rise further.

    FUNDING: None.

  5. Xiao J, Ng CH, Chan KE, Fu C, Tay P, Yong JN, et al.
    J Clin Exp Hepatol, 2023;13(4):656-665.
    PMID: 37440949 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2022.11.006
    BACKGROUND: Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease globally. While the prevalence, impact, and causes of mortality have been described in various meta-analyses, a systematic all-encompassing umbrella review has yet to be conducted to consolidate the evidence on outcomes associated with NAFLD.

    METHODS: Search was conducted on Medline and Embase for meta-analysis investigating associated complications and causes of mortality in NAFLD patients. Summary estimates were presented with original units, sample size, and I2 for heterogeneity. The Assessment of Multiple Systematic Reviews 2 was employed for article selection.

    RESULTS: 25 meta-analyses were included in the present review. NAFLD increased the risks of systemic complications, including cardiovascular diseases, systemic malignancies, diabetes, and chronic kidney disease. Regarding hepatic outcomes, the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD was 2.39 per 100 person years (CI: 1.40 to 4.08). Individuals with NAFLD were also found to have an increased likelihood of cholangiocarcinoma (OR: 1.88, CI: 1.25 to 2.83) and gallstone disease (OR: 1.55, CI: 1.31 to 1.82) compared to individuals without NAFLD. NAFLD was associated with a higher risk of fatal and non-fatal CVD events (HR: 1.45, CI: 1.31 to 1.61) compared to individuals without NAFLD. Coronary heart disease and subclinical and clinical coronary heart disease were also significantly elevated in NAFLD individuals compared to individuals without NAFLD. Additionally, NAFLD was associated with an increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.34, CI: 1.17 to 1.54) and cardiovascular (HR: 1.30, CI: 1.08 to 1.56) but not cancer-related mortality.

    CONCLUSION: The study summarizes high-level evidence from published meta-analyses to provide a much-needed update on the outcomes in patients with NAFLD. The significant systemic burden associated with NAFLD and impending fatty liver epidemic requires prompt action from multidisciplinary providers, policy providers, and stakeholders to reduce the burden of NAFLD.

  6. Tan DJH, Ng CH, Muthiah M, Yong JN, Chee D, Teng M, et al.
    Metabolism, 2024 Mar;152:155744.
    PMID: 38029839 DOI: 10.1016/j.metabol.2023.155744
    BACKGROUND: High body mass index (BMI) is a major risk factor for cancer development, but its impact on the global burden of cancer remains unclear.

    METHODS: We estimated global and regional temporal trends in the burden of cancer attributable to high BMI, and the contributions of various cancer types using the framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study.

    RESULTS: From 2010 to 2019, there was a 35 % increase in deaths and a 34 % increase in disability-adjusted life-years from cancers attributable to high BMI. The age-standardized death rates for cancer attributable to high BMI increased over the study period (annual percentage change [APC] +0.48 %, 95 % CI 0.22 to 0.74 %). The greatest number of deaths from cancer attributable to high BMI occurred in Europe, but the fastest-growing age-standardized death rates and disability-adjusted life-years occurred in Southeast Asia. Liver cancer was the fastest-growing cause of cancer mortality (APC: 1.37 %, 95 % CI 1.25 to 1.49 %) attributable to high BMI.

    CONCLUSION: The global burden of cancer-related deaths attributable to high BMI has increased substantially from 2010 to 2019. The greatest increase in age-standardized death rates occurred in Southeast Asia, and liver cancer is the fastest-growing cause of cancer mortality attributable to high BMI. Urgent and sustained measures are required at a global and regional level to reverse these trends and slow the growing burden of cancer attributed to high BMI.

  7. Ng CH, Wong ZY, Chew NWS, Chan KE, Xiao J, Sayed N, et al.
    Front Cardiovasc Med, 2022;9:942753.
    PMID: 36003916 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2022.942753
    BACKGROUND AND AIMS: Hypertension (HTN) is a common comorbidity in non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) affecting up to 40% of individuals. However, the impact of HTN and its control on outcomes in NAFLD remains unclear. Therefore, we aimed to examine the impact of HTN on survival outcomes in a longitudinal cohort of NAFLD patients.

    METHODS: The analysis consisted of adults in the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) from 1999 to 2018 with data on socio-demographic characteristics and comorbidities. NAFLD was diagnosed with fatty liver index (FLI) and United States-FLI at a cut-off of 60 and 30, respectively in the substantial absence of alcohol use. A multivariate regression analysis was conducted to adjust for confounders.

    RESULTS: A total of 45,302 adults were included, and 27.83% were identified to have NAFLD. Overall, 45.65 and 35.12% of patients with NAFLD had HTN and uncontrolled HTN, respectively. A multivariate analysis with confounders demonstrated that hypertensive NAFLD had a significantly increased risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.39, CI: 1.14-1.68, p < 0.01) and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality (HR: 1.85, CI: 1.06-3.21, p = 0.03). Untreated HTN remained to have a significantly increased risk in all-cause (HR: 1.59, CI: 1.28-1.96, p < 0.01) and CVD mortality (HR: 2.36, CI: 1.36-4.10, p < 0.01) while treated HTN had a non-significant increased risk of CVD mortality (HR: 1.51, CI: 0.87-2.63, p = 0.14) and a lower magnitude of increase in the risk of all-cause mortality (HR: 1.26, CI: 1.03-1.55, p = 0.03).

    CONCLUSION: Despite the significant burden of HTN in NAFLD, up to a fifth of patients have adequate control, and the lack thereof significantly increases the mortality risk. With the significant association of HTN in NAFLD, patients with NAFLD should be managed with a multidisciplinary team to improve longitudinal outcomes.

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