METHODS: This was a Phase 2 study of the oral RSV fusion protein inhibitor AK0529 in infants aged 1-24 months, hospitalized with RSV infection. In Part 1, patients (n = 24) were randomized 2:1 to receive a single dose of AK0529 up to 4 mg/kg or placebo. In Part 2, patients (n = 48) were randomized 2:1 to receive AK0529 at 0.5, 1, or 2 mg/kg bid or placebo for 5 days. Sparse pharmacokinetic samples were assessed using population pharmacokinetics modelling. Safety, tolerability, viral load, and respiratory signs and symptoms were assessed daily during treatment.
RESULTS: No safety or tolerability signals were detected for AK0529: grade ≥3 treatment-emergent adverse events occurring in 4.1% of patients in AK0529 and 4.2% in placebo groups, respectively, and none led to death or withdrawal from the study. In Part 2, targeted drug exposure was reached with 2 mg/kg bid. A numerically greater reduction in median viral load with 2 mg/kg bid AK0529 than with placebo at 96 h was observed. A -4.0 (95% CI: -4.51, -2.03) median reduction in Wang Respiratory Score from baseline to 96 h was observed in the 2 mg/kg group compared with -2.0 (95% CI: -3.42, -1.82) in the placebo group.
CONCLUSIONS: AK0529 was well tolerated in hospitalized RSV-infected infant patients. Treatment with AK0529 2 mg/kg bid was observed to reduce viral load and Wang Respiratory Score.
CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION: NCT02654171.
OBJECTIVE: To evaluate the degree to which using data-driven methods to simultaneously select an optimal Patient Health Questionnaire-9 (PHQ-9) cutoff score and estimate accuracy yields (1) optimal cutoff scores that differ from the population-level optimal cutoff score and (2) biased accuracy estimates.
DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS: This study used cross-sectional data from an existing individual participant data meta-analysis (IPDMA) database on PHQ-9 screening accuracy to represent a hypothetical population. Studies in the IPDMA database compared participant PHQ-9 scores with a major depression classification. From the IPDMA population, 1000 studies of 100, 200, 500, and 1000 participants each were resampled.
MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES: For the full IPDMA population and each simulated study, an optimal cutoff score was selected by maximizing the Youden index. Accuracy estimates for optimal cutoff scores in simulated studies were compared with accuracy in the full population.
RESULTS: The IPDMA database included 100 primary studies with 44 503 participants (4541 [10%] cases of major depression). The population-level optimal cutoff score was 8 or higher. Optimal cutoff scores in simulated studies ranged from 2 or higher to 21 or higher in samples of 100 participants and 5 or higher to 11 or higher in samples of 1000 participants. The percentage of simulated studies that identified the true optimal cutoff score of 8 or higher was 17% for samples of 100 participants and 33% for samples of 1000 participants. Compared with estimates for a cutoff score of 8 or higher in the population, sensitivity was overestimated by 6.4 (95% CI, 5.7-7.1) percentage points in samples of 100 participants, 4.9 (95% CI, 4.3-5.5) percentage points in samples of 200 participants, 2.2 (95% CI, 1.8-2.6) percentage points in samples of 500 participants, and 1.8 (95% CI, 1.5-2.1) percentage points in samples of 1000 participants. Specificity was within 1 percentage point across sample sizes.
CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE: This study of cross-sectional data found that optimal cutoff scores and accuracy estimates differed substantially from population values when data-driven methods were used to simultaneously identify an optimal cutoff score and estimate accuracy. Users of diagnostic accuracy evidence should evaluate studies of accuracy with caution and ensure that cutoff score recommendations are based on adequately powered research or well-conducted meta-analyses.