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  1. Islam KR, Prithula J, Kumar J, Tan TL, Reaz MBI, Sumon MSI, et al.
    J Clin Med, 2023 Aug 30;12(17).
    PMID: 37685724 DOI: 10.3390/jcm12175658
    BACKGROUND: Sepsis, a life-threatening infection-induced inflammatory condition, has significant global health impacts. Timely detection is crucial for improving patient outcomes as sepsis can rapidly progress to severe forms. The application of machine learning (ML) and deep learning (DL) to predict sepsis using electronic health records (EHRs) has gained considerable attention for timely intervention.

    METHODS: PubMed, IEEE Xplore, Google Scholar, and Scopus were searched for relevant studies. All studies that used ML/DL to detect or early-predict the onset of sepsis in the adult population using EHRs were considered. Data were extracted and analyzed from all studies that met the criteria and were also evaluated for their quality.

    RESULTS: This systematic review examined 1942 articles, selecting 42 studies while adhering to strict criteria. The chosen studies were predominantly retrospective (n = 38) and spanned diverse geographic settings, with a focus on the United States. Different datasets, sepsis definitions, and prevalence rates were employed, necessitating data augmentation. Heterogeneous parameter utilization, diverse model distribution, and varying quality assessments were observed. Longitudinal data enabled early sepsis prediction, and quality criteria fulfillment varied, with inconsistent funding-article quality correlation.

    CONCLUSIONS: This systematic review underscores the significance of ML/DL methods for sepsis detection and early prediction through EHR data.

  2. Rahman MS, Islam KR, Prithula J, Kumar J, Mahmud M, Alam MF, et al.
    BMC Med Inform Decis Mak, 2024 Sep 09;24(1):249.
    PMID: 39251962 DOI: 10.1186/s12911-024-02655-4
    BACKGROUND: Sepsis poses a critical threat to hospitalized patients, particularly those in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU). Rapid identification of Sepsis is crucial for improving survival rates. Machine learning techniques offer advantages over traditional methods for predicting outcomes. This study aimed to develop a prognostic model using a Stacking-based Meta-Classifier to predict 30-day mortality risks in Sepsis-3 patients from the MIMIC-III database.

    METHODS: A cohort of 4,240 Sepsis-3 patients was analyzed, with 783 experiencing 30-day mortality and 3,457 surviving. Fifteen biomarkers were selected using feature ranking methods, including Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), Random Forest, and Extra Tree, and the Logistic Regression (LR) model was used to assess their individual predictability with a fivefold cross-validation approach for the validation of the prediction. The dataset was balanced using the SMOTE-TOMEK LINK technique, and a stacking-based meta-classifier was used for 30-day mortality prediction. The SHapley Additive explanations analysis was performed to explain the model's prediction.

    RESULTS: Using the LR classifier, the model achieved an area under the curve or AUC score of 0.99. A nomogram provided clinical insights into the biomarkers' significance. The stacked meta-learner, LR classifier exhibited the best performance with 95.52% accuracy, 95.79% precision, 95.52% recall, 93.65% specificity, and a 95.60% F1-score.

    CONCLUSIONS: In conjunction with the nomogram, the proposed stacking classifier model effectively predicted 30-day mortality in Sepsis patients. This approach holds promise for early intervention and improved outcomes in treating Sepsis cases.

  3. Prithula J, Islam KR, Kumar J, Tan TL, Reaz MBI, Rahman T, et al.
    Comput Biol Med, 2025 Jan;184:109284.
    PMID: 39579661 DOI: 10.1016/j.compbiomed.2024.109284
    Sepsis, a life-threatening condition triggered by the body's response to infection, remains a significant global health challenge, annually affecting millions in the United States alone with substantial mortality and healthcare costs. Early prediction of sepsis is critical for timely intervention and improved patient outcomes. This study introduces an innovative predictive model leveraging machine learning techniques and a specific data-splitting approach on highly imbalanced electronic health records (EHRs). Using PhysioNet/CinC Challenge 2019 data from 40,336 patients, including vital signs, lab values, and demographics. Preliminary assessments using classical and stacked ML models with Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) augmentation were conducted, showing improved performance. It is found that stacking ML models enhances overall accuracy but faces limitations in precision, recall, and F1 score for positive class prediction. A novel data-splitting approach with 5-fold cross-validation and SMOTE and COPULA augmentation techniques demonstrated promise, with F1 scores ranging from 93 % to 94 % using the COPULA technique. COPULA excelled at predictions for different hours' onsets compared to the SMOTE technique. The proposed model outperformed existing studies, suggesting clinical viability for early sepsis prediction.
  4. Islam KR, Kumar J, Tan TL, Reaz MBI, Rahman T, Khandakar A, et al.
    Diagnostics (Basel), 2022 Sep 03;12(9).
    PMID: 36140545 DOI: 10.3390/diagnostics12092144
    With the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic, the number of critically sick patients in intensive care units (ICUs) has increased worldwide, putting a burden on ICUs. Early prediction of ICU requirement is crucial for efficient resource management and distribution. Early-prediction scoring systems for critically ill patients using mathematical models are available, but are not generalized for COVID-19 and Non-COVID patients. This study aims to develop a generalized and reliable prognostic model for ICU admission for both COVID-19 and non-COVID-19 patients using best feature combination from the patient data at admission. A retrospective cohort study was conducted on a dataset collected from the pulmonology department of Moscow City State Hospital between 20 April 2020 and 5 June 2020. The dataset contains ten clinical features for 231 patients, of whom 100 patients were transferred to ICU and 131 were stable (non-ICU) patients. There were 156 COVID positive patients and 75 non-COVID patients. Different feature selection techniques were investigated, and a stacking machine learning model was proposed and compared with eight different classification algorithms to detect risk of need for ICU admission for both COVID-19 and non-COVID patients combined and COVID patients alone. C-reactive protein (CRP), chest computed tomography (CT), lung tissue affected (%), age, admission to hospital, and fibrinogen parameters at hospital admission were found to be important features for ICU-requirement risk prediction. The best performance was produced by the stacking approach, with weighted precision, sensitivity, F1-score, specificity, and overall accuracy of 84.45%, 84.48%, 83.64%, 84.47%, and 84.48%, respectively, for both types of patients, and 85.34%, 85.35%, 85.11%, 85.34%, and 85.35%, respectively, for COVID-19 patients only. The proposed work can help doctors to improve management through early prediction of the risk of need for ICU admission of patients during the COVID-19 pandemic, as the model can be used for both types of patients.
  5. Mahmud S, Ibtehaz N, Khandakar A, Tahir AM, Rahman T, Islam KR, et al.
    Sensors (Basel), 2022 Jan 25;22(3).
    PMID: 35161664 DOI: 10.3390/s22030919
    Cardiovascular diseases are the most common causes of death around the world. To detect and treat heart-related diseases, continuous blood pressure (BP) monitoring along with many other parameters are required. Several invasive and non-invasive methods have been developed for this purpose. Most existing methods used in hospitals for continuous monitoring of BP are invasive. On the contrary, cuff-based BP monitoring methods, which can predict systolic blood pressure (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP), cannot be used for continuous monitoring. Several studies attempted to predict BP from non-invasively collectible signals such as photoplethysmograms (PPG) and electrocardiograms (ECG), which can be used for continuous monitoring. In this study, we explored the applicability of autoencoders in predicting BP from PPG and ECG signals. The investigation was carried out on 12,000 instances of 942 patients of the MIMIC-II dataset, and it was found that a very shallow, one-dimensional autoencoder can extract the relevant features to predict the SBP and DBP with state-of-the-art performance on a very large dataset. An independent test set from a portion of the MIMIC-II dataset provided a mean absolute error (MAE) of 2.333 and 0.713 for SBP and DBP, respectively. On an external dataset of 40 subjects, the model trained on the MIMIC-II dataset provided an MAE of 2.728 and 1.166 for SBP and DBP, respectively. For both the cases, the results met British Hypertension Society (BHS) Grade A and surpassed the studies from the current literature.
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