INTRODUCTION: The importance of early recognition and treatment of sepsis and its effects on short-term survival outcome have long been recognized. Having reliable indicators and markers that would help prognosticate the survival of these patients is invaluable and would subsequently assist in the course of effective dynamic triaging and goal directed management.
STUDY OBJECTIVES: To determine the prognosticative value of Shock Index (SI), taken upon arrival to the emergency department and after 2 hours of resuscitation on the shortterm outcome of severe sepsis and septic shock patients.
METHODOLOGY: This is a retrospective observational study involving 50 patients admitted to the University of Malaya Medical Centre between June 2009 and June 2010 who have been diagnosed with either severe sepsis or septic shock. Patients were identified retrospectively from the details recorded in the registration book of the resuscitation room. 50 patients were selected for this pilot study. The population comprised 19 males (38%) and 31 females (62%). The median (min, max) age was 54.5 (17.0, 84.0) years. The number of severe sepsis and septic shock cases were 31 (62%), and 19 (38%) respectively. There were 17 (34%) cases of pneumonias, 13 (26%) cases of urological sepsis, 8 (16%) cases of gastro intestinal tract related infections and 12 (24%) cases of other infections. There were a total of 23 (46%) survivors and 27 (54%) deaths. The value of the shock index is defined as systolic blood pressure divided by heart rate was calculated. Shock Index on presentation to ED (SI 1) and after 2 hours of resuscitation in the ED (SI 2). The median, minimum and maximum variables were tested using Mann-Whitney U and Chi square analysis. The significant parameters were re-evaluated for sensitivity, specificity and cut-off points. ROC curves and AUC values were generated among these variables to assess prognostic utility for outcome.
RESULTS: Amongst all 7 variables tested, 2 were tested to be significant (p: < 0.05). From the sensitivity, specificity and ROC analysis, the best predictor for death was (SI 2) with a sensitivity of 80.8%, specificity of 79.2%, AUC value of 0.8894 [CI 95 0.8052, 0.9736] at a cut-off point of > or = 1.0.
CONCLUSION: (SI 2) may potentially be utilized as a reliable predictor for death in patients presenting with septic shock and severe sepsis in an emergency department. This parameters should be further analyzed in a larger scale prospective study to determine its validity.
The aim of this study was to determine possible associations between some prognostic factors and drowning outcome. There were 47 drowning victims during the study period, of whom 39 (83%) survived and 8 (17%) died. All deaths occurred in children aged under 5 including 7 (87.5%) male and 1 (12.5%) female victims. Seven (87.5%) were Iranian and only one (12.5%) was from Afghanistan. Absence of vital signs at hospital arrival, need for resuscitation, GCS < 5 and acidosis all were associated with adverse outcome with a statistical significance (P < 0.05), but hypothermia was the only idependent predictor of poor outcome (OR 13.7; 95% CI 2.27 to 82.7 , P = 0.003). Since prognostic factors do not predict outcome with 100% accuracy, performing cardiopulmonary resuscitation at the scene and continuing it in the hospital can provide higher chances of recovery for the children.
This is a prospective study to determine the severity of disability and prognosis of acute stroke patients related to their Body Mass index (BMI). A total of 79 consecutive CT-scan-proven acute stroke patients who were admitted to Hospital Tuanku Ja'afar, Seremban between November 2006 and April 2007 were recruited (male:female 49:30; mean age 62.7 years; ischemic stroke 70, intracerebral bleed 9). The patients were divided according to BMI less than 25 (Group A) and equal or greater than 25 (Group B). Severity of disability was measured between 24-48 hours by modified Rankin's score. Patients were followed up after one month. Thirty-seven patients had severe disability (Rankin Score 5). Twenty-nine patients had adverse outcomes including 11 deaths and 18 rehospitalizations or prolonged hospital/nursing home stay. 34.3% of Group B had severe disability compared to 56.8% of Group A (chi2 P = 0.046). Conversely 42.9% of Group B had adverse events at one month compared to 31.8% of Group A (chi2 P = 0.312). There were no statistical differences between high- and low-BMI groups for gender ratio, smoking, hypertension, diabetes, prior cardiovascular disease, mean age, mean lipid profile and blood pressure. When comparing patients with Rankin Score 1-4 versus 5, age and BMI were statistically significant between the two groups. By multivariate analysis only age is independent predictor for severe disability (P < 0.05). The results of this pilot study should be confirmed in larger prospective multicentre trial.
We present the results and conclusions of an observational prospective cohort design study using self-administered questionnaires to determine correlation between psychosocial factors and cancer outcome among 80 consecutive newly diagnosed treatment naïve cancer subjects who were being referred to the Oncology Clinic, Hospital Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia. Subjects were recruited over a period of 43 weeks from October 2000 till July 2001. Follow-up assessments were carried out at 6-months and 12 to 26 months later. The prediction of survival time was performed by the Cox Regression Analysis method with adjustments for biological and psychosocial risk factors. It was noted that depression (p = 0.001), stage 4 cancer disease (p = 0.016), neurological (p = 0.032), gastrointestinal tract (p = 0.04), head and neck (p = 0.011), gynaecological (p = 0.005) and bone and soft tissue (p = 0.030) malignancies were independent and statistically significant prognostic factor of survival during the study period. It was further shown than depressed patients were found to have almost four fold greater risk of dying than non-depressed patients and patients with stage 4 cancer illness have a five fold greater risk of dying than patients with stage 1 disease. Furthermore, based on tumour types subjects with neurological, gynaecological, head and neck, bone and soft tissue and gastro intestinal tract malignancies were found to have approximately thirty-six, twenty-five, twenty-two, sixteen and seven fold greater risk of dying respectively when compared to subjects with genitourinary cancers. This study further affirms the need for health care providers to be aware of the psychological aspects of the cancer patient and provide appropriate therapy so as to ensure that this group of individuals would have enhanced survival rates.
Study site: Oncology clinic, Pusat Perubatan Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (PPUKM)
Multiple sclerosis, although a rare disease in Asia, often presents significant diagnostic challenges to clinicians. There has been rapid advancement in the understanding of the underlying genetic influence, pathophysiology, investigation and treatment recently. This paper reviewed the latest development of various aspects of the disease and examined the differences between the manifestations of Asian and Western patients. The implications of these differences to investigation and treatment were also touched upon.
A five-month-old Indian girl, product of consanguineous marriage, presented with diarrhoea with an onset within two days after birth, severe malnutrition and metabolic acidosis. The diarrhoea persisted even with lactose-free formula, amino acid-based formula and glucose-containing oral rehydration solution, but stopped when fasted. She required prolonged parenteral nutrition. Fructose and glucose tolerance tests were performed, confirming the child was able to absorb and metabolize fructose but not glucose, indicating a diagnosis of glucose-galactose malabsorption. This case illustrate how simple and pertinent clinical observations and laboratory investigations is sufficient to allow a firm diagnosis to be made.
Pleomorphic sarcoma is the most common sarcoma. Reports of outcome as well as evaluation of prognostic factors in the literature show great variation. We looked at our experience in treating this tumour at University Malaya Medical Center. This is a review of patients diagnosed with Pleomorphic Sarcoma from January 1990 to December 2005 at University Malaya Medical Center. Outcome measures studied are the overall survival, disease free survival and local recurrence of disease. Prognostic factors for survival and local recurrence which were studied are the tumour size, depth, stage, type of surgery, adjuvant therapy, and surgical margin. There were fifty four patients available for analysis of demographics. The mean age at presentation was 52.3 +/- 16.7 years. There were thirty male patients (56%) and twenty four female patients (44%) in the study population. The patients were predominantly Malay (44.4%) and Chinese (42.6%). There were two Indian patients (3.7%) and five patients from other races (9.3%). Thirty patients had disease affecting the extremities while six patients had disease affecting the trunk. Patients with tumour affecting the trunk had 100% mortality. In patients with tumour affecting the extremity, 46.7% presented with Stage 3 disease. The overall median survival was 39 months. The overall survival rate at 3 years was 53.3% and the 5 years was 30.0%. The disease free survival rate at five years was 27.6%. However, if patients who presented with metastasis were excluded, the 5 year survival rate was 60% while the disease free survival was 53.3%. Recurrence rate was 33.3%. Factors affecting survival was stage, size and location of tumour. No factors were found to correlate with higher local recurrence rate. In conclusion, Pleomorphic Sarcoma is a heterogenous disease with variable outcome. In our centre, late presentation with advanced disease significantly affects the overall outcome of this condition. Tumour size and location are important prognostic factors. Inherent tumour behavior and aggressiveness probably outweigh current treatment modalities as the most important prognostic factor in the management of Pleomorphic Sarcoma.
Breast cancer is the most common cancer in most part of the world and it is the most common cancer among Malaysian women. In order to estimate the overall survival and prognosis, it was decided that a National Cancer Patient Registry-Breast cancer be set up. It would be a tracking system form for breast cancer patients in Malaysia to help treatment outcomes. There would be useful for evaluating clinical management.
The clinical outcome of bacteraemic patients is influenced by many factors. It is vital to know one's own local hospital epidemiological data so as to provide optimal care to the affected patients. This was a prospective, observational study carried out in the said patient population over a period of four months in the year 2005. One hundred and ninety one patients presented with bacteraemia over the study period. Fifty-two (27%) of the patients died. Mechanical ventilation, inappropriate empirical antibiotic usage, Chinese ethnicity and low serum albumin levels independently affected prognosis. These factors should alert physicians to those patients who require more intensive monitoring and care.
KEY WORDS:
Bacteraemia, Blood Culture Positive, Outcome, Risk factors, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
Irreversible optic nerve dysfunction associated with central retinal vein occlusion (CRVO) is an unusual but important complication of Waldenstrom Macroglobulinemia (WM). Acute visual loss in CRVO is mainly due the severe macular oedema. However, ischaemic optic neuropathy needs to be considered in patients with CRVO when, (i) there is a relative afferent papillary defect and central scotoma, (ii) the visual acuity is not consistent with the retinal pathology, and (iii) the visual defects persisted despite resolution of macular oedema following treatment of the hyperviscosity state. The ischaemic type of CRVO is associated with a poor visual prognosis and the presenting visual acuity has a prognostic role. We report the first description of irreversible unilateral optic nerve damage associated with CRVO in a patient with WM.
Primary intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) results in significant morbidity and mortality among patients. There is a paucity of epidemiological data on this condition in Malaysia. The purpose of this hospital based study was to define the clinical profile in patients with primary spontaneous intracerebral haemorrhage at University of Malaya Medical Centre (UMMC) and to determine the mortality rate of intracerebral haemorrhage at the time of discharge, the prognostic factors and one year outcome of this cohort of patients. Sixty-six patients were admitted at the Neurosurgical unit of University of Malaya Medical Centre for a period of 13 months from March 2002 to March 2003. Fifty percent of the subjects were female. The mean age was 61.6 +/- 16.7 years. Among our patients with intracerebral haemorrhage, the common risk factors were: hypertension (80.3%), diabetes mellitus (25.7%) and smoking (27.2%). Common presenting features for our series were: weakness (61.8%), LOC (58.5%), headache (56.3%) and speech disturbances (45.3%). On neuroimaging, the lesions were seen in basal ganglia/thalamus (45.1%), lobar (32.9%), brainstem (13.4%) and cerebelli (8.5%). The overall 30 days mortality rate for intracerebral haemorrhage (ICH) was 43.9%. The important predictors of for mortality were the GCS score on admission (p < 0.0001), haematoma volume > 30 mls (p < 0.0001), evidence of intraventricular extension (p = 0.011) and ICH score (p < 0.0001). At one year follow up, 48.5% (n = 32) were dead, 33.3% (n = 11) obtained good recovery, 36.4% (n = 12) moderate disability, 18.2% (n = 6) severe disability and 3% remain vegetative state. The overall mortality rate for our series of patients with primary intracerebral haemorrhage is quite similar to previously published epidemiological studies. ICH scoring is useful in the prognostication.
To determine the prognostic factors such as age, diagnosis, number of cycle attempts and semen parameters on the pregnancy rate of controlled ovarian hyperstimulation (COH) /intrauterine insemination (IUI). Three hundred and seventeen women who underwent 507 consecutive COH/IUI cycles were recruited from 1st January 2002 to 31st December 2005 inclusively. This retrospective study was done in University Malaya Medical Centre, a tertiary care academic centre. The main outcome measure was pregnancy rate according to age, infertility diagnosis, duration of infertility, semen parameters, and the number of treatment cycles. The overall pregnancy rates were 16.9% per cycle and 25.9% per couple. Pregnancy rates decreased with advancing maternal age. Pregnancy rate was also significantly lower in patient with postwash total motile sperm count (TMSC) < or = 20 million/ml compared to those with TMSC >20 million/ml. The cumulative pregnancy rates varied greatly by diagnosis from 16% for patients with male factor infertility to 60% for patients with ovulatory disorder. Pregnancies among patients with male infertility, tubal factors infertility and endometriosis were achieved during the first three cycles. There is a clear age-related decline in fecundity associated with COH/IUI treatment. Women of > 40 years old, couple with postwash TMSC < or = 20 million/ml, severe endometriosis and tubal factors have a particularly poor prognosis.
Survivin is a 16.5-kDa intracellular protein also known as AP14 or BIRC5. It inhibits apoptosis and regulates cell division and belongs to the inhibitors of apoptosis (IAP) gene family. In the majority of neoplasms investigated for survivin expression, high levels of the IAP proteins were predictive of tumour progression, either in terms of disease-free survival or overall survival, thus providing significant prognostic information. Hence, the prognostic value of survivin expression in tumour masses of invasive ductal carcinoma has been investigated. It was found that negative and low expression of survivin correlated significantly with favourable outcomes. Conversely, high expression correlated with unfavourable outcomes. The five-year survival rate was higher among the cases with low and negative survivin expression, compared to those with higher survivin expression. However, this correlation was found to be insignificant statistically. Furthermore, a statistical model has been devised to explain the combined effects of survivin expression and its sub-cellular localisation, p-53 expression and lymph nodal involvement, on the outcomes of these patients.
This study was done to assess the overall response rate of imatinib mesylate in local patients with chronic myeloid leukaemia. A total of 69 patients were recruited with male/female ratio of 7:3. Of the 69 patients; 35% were in the chronic phase, 41% were in the accelerated phase, 17% were in blast crisis and the remaining 7% were after stem cell transplantation. Complete haematological response rates of patients in chronic phase, accelerated phase and blast crisis were 95.8%, 96.4% and 41.7% respectively. Thirty-eight percent of patients achieved complete cytogenetic response and 10% achieved partial cytogenetic response. The cytogenetic response rates were 80%, 41.7% and 18.2% in chronic, accelerated and blast crisis phase respectively (p < 0.005). Twenty-six percent of patients developed anaemia, 13% had neutropenia and 12% had thrombocytopenia after starting on treatment. In addition, 14% of patients developed peripheral oedema, 13% complained of musculoskeletal pain, 12% had gastrointestinal side effects which include nausea, vomiting and diarrhoea, 9% had grade 1 hepatotoxicity, 7% developed skin rashes and one patient had an abnormal renal function test. Patients taking 600mg or higher dosage of imatinib had more gastrointestinal side effects. Patients who weighed less than 60kg had a much higher risk of developing anaemia. Anaemia was a negative predictor of cytogenetic response. Presenting high white blood cell counts and absence of cytogenetic response were also negative predictors of survival. Overall survival was 87%. This was affected by the different phases of disease (chronic phase was better than accelerated and blast crisis) (p < 0.001). In conclusion, our local CML patients did well on treatment with imatinib.
Dysphagia occurs frequently after a stroke. It is a major problem as patients are at risk of malnutrition and aspiration pneumonia. We aimed to identify the risk factors for and outcome of dysphagia over the first one month after an acute ischaemic stroke. Patients with acute first-ever ischaemic stroke admitted to the medical ward of Hospital Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia (HUKM) between July 2004 and December 2004 were prospectively examined. Observation was done using pre-defined criteria. Demographic data, risk factors, and type of stroke were recorded on admission. The assessment of dysphagia was made using standardized clinical methods. All patients were followed up for three months. One hundred and thirty four patients were recruited in the study. Fifty-five patients (41%) had dysphagia at presentation. This number was reduced to 29 (21.6%) patients at one month. Logistic regression analysis revealed that age of more than 75 years [OR 5.20 (95% CI 1.89 - 14.30)], diabetes mellitus [OR 2.91 (95% CI 1.07 - 7.91)] and MCA infarct [OR 2.48 (95% CI 1.01-6.14)] independently predicts the occurrence of dysphagia after an acute stroke. Dysphagia at presentation was found to be an independent predictor of mortality at one-month [OR 5.28 (95% CI 1.51-18.45)] post ischaemic infarct. Dysphagia occurred commonly in ischaemic stroke. Advance age, diabetes mellitus and large infarcts were independently associated with the presence of dysphagia. Early stroke mortality can be independently predicted by the presence of dysphagia.
Subcutaneous panniculitic T-cell lymphoma (SPTL) is a rare variant of cutaneous T-cell lymphoma where lymphoma cells infiltrate preferentially into subcutaneous tissue. Five cases of SPTL were seen during the period from 2001-2004 at the Department of Dermatology, Hospital Kuala Lumpur. All five presented with multiple subcutaneous nodules on the face, trunk and limbs of one week to six months duration with associated fever and loss of weight. Physical examination showed multiple tender, erythematous indurated plaques and subcutaneous nodules on their face, trunk and limbs. One patient also presented with unhealing ulcerated nodules. Two patients had hepatosplenomegaly and one hepatomegaly. Two patients had pancytopaenia while the other three had leucopaenia. One patient had deranged liver function. Out of the five patients, three had bone marrow examination with haemophaegocytosis in two and one hypocellular marrow. Skin biopsy of all patients showed infiltration with atypical lymphoid cells in the upper dermis and subcutaneous fat. These neoplastic cells showed positivity for CD3 and CD30 in three patients with CD8, TIA-1 and LCA (Leucocyte common antigen) being positive in one patient. One patient treated with prednisolone and subcutaneous Roferon 3Mu three times a week since 2001 was in remission. Two patients who were planned for chemotherapy had deteriorated rapidly and succumbed to septicaemia from pancytopaenia. Subcutaneous panniculitic T-cell lymphoma has been reported to show two distinct clinical presentations. The first is characterized by an indolent course with good prognosis and the second with rapid clinical deterioration, haemophaegocytosis and death. Both presentations were seen in our five patients seem to demonstrate these two subtypes of SPTL.
A total of 31 adult patients with moderate and severe head injury were assessed clinically on admission for Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) and short test of mental status (STMS) on follow-up and compared to their initial and follow up CT scan. Good predictors were admission GCS, midline shift, volume of subdural haemorrhage in the initial CT scan of the brain as well as the presence of post-traumatic hydrocephalus, gliosis and site of gliosis in the follow-up CT scan. There was no direct correlation between the significant predictors on the first CT scan and the follow-up CT scan of the brain.
Pre-eclampsia or pregnancy induced hypertension (PIH) affects 6-8% of all pregnancies. Although the underlying mechanism of PIH is still unknown, it is widely believed that the placenta plays an important role. It was thought that an ischemic placenta due to poor perfusion can precipitate the signs and symptoms of PIH. This study aims to investigate the possible role of Type 1(AT1) and Type 2 (AT2) angiotensin II receptor subtypes in the mechanism of PIH. AT1 receptor stimulation causes vasoconstriction and AT2 receptor stimulation causes vasodilatation. Investigating the interactions of these two receptors in the placenta provides an insight as to the balance that may exist between AT1 and AT2 receptors in normal pregnancy. Any disruption to the balance might cause a disruption of the blood flow in the placenta, leading to PIH. Placentas were collected from 11 PIH patients and 11 normal patients. Immunohistochemistry techniques were performed on the placental tissue to determine the distribution of AT1 and AT2 receptors in the placental tissue qualitatively and quantitatively. It was observed that in normal patients, the balance between AT1 and AT2 receptors is that the level of AT2 receptors is higher than the level of AT1 receptors. However in the PIH patient, it was observed that the normal balance was disrupted. In PIH patients the level of AT1 receptors was observed to be higher than the level of AT2 receptors. This study suggests that disruption of the balance between AT1 and AT2 receptors observed in PIH placentas might cause a decrease in blood flow to the placenta, causing it to be poorly perfused. This may cause placental ischemia which may lead to PIH.
Haemophagocytic syndrome (HPS) should be included in the differential diagnosis of pyrexia of unknown origin (PUO). The hallmark of HPS is the accumulation of activated macrophages that engulf haematopoietic cells in the reticuloendothelial system. We describe a patient with unexplained fever in which a final diagnosis of HPS was established in a bone marrow study.
Tetanus is still widely prevalent in many parts of the world especially in the developing countries. This study was conducted to assess the demographic and clinical features, treatment and outcome of tetanus in adults with a special emphasis on identification of predictors of mortality. This was a retrospective study of all adult patients admitted with tetanus over a three-year period from 1998 to 2000 at Lok Nayak Hospital, New Delhi, India. The demography, clinical features, treatment and complications of the patients were assessed and were evaluated against two possible outcomes- survival or death, to identify the predictors of mortality. There were 217 adults (148 males, 69 females) admitted with generalized tetanus during the study period. The mean age of the patients was 36.08 +/- 18.84 years. In most instances (63.5%), wounds / injuries served as the source of infection. Overall 31.8% had mild, 21.7% had moderate and 46.5% had severe disease at presentation. Respiratory failure and dysautonomia were the frequently observed complications. Of the 217 patients, 82 died - a mortality rate of 37.78%. Parameters that were significantly associated with increased mortality were: age (especially > 60 years); shorter duration of symptoms - trismus, rigidity and dysphagia; severe disease at presentation and shorter period of onset. Tetanus is a preventable disease associated with a high fatality rate. Universal coverage of immunization programme and appropriate wound prophylaxis is the corner stone of tetanus eradication. The treatment of tetanus is difficult and requires specialized and intensive care. The presence of parameters indicating an adverse outcome at the beginning in the patients will help identify the subset of patients that need more intensive management especially in resource poor nations.