Displaying publications 1 - 20 of 38 in total

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  1. Murti MA, Junior R, Ahmed AN, Elshafie A
    Sci Rep, 2022 Dec 08;12(1):21200.
    PMID: 36482200 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-25098-1
    Earthquake is one of the natural disasters that have a big impact on society. Currently, there are many studies on earthquake detection. However, the vibrations that were detected by sensors were not only vibrations caused by the earthquake, but also other vibrations. Therefore, this study proposed an earthquake multi-classification detection with machine learning algorithms that can distinguish earthquake and non-earthquake, and vandalism vibration using acceleration seismic waves. In addition, velocity and displacement as integration products of acceleration have been considered additional features to improve the performances of machine learning algorithms. Several machine learning algorithms such as Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Decision Tree (DT), and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) have been used to develop the best algorithm for earthquake multi-classification detection. The results of this study indicate that the ANN algorithm is the best algorithm to distinguish between earthquake and non-earthquake, and vandalism vibrations. Moreover, it's also more resistant to various input features. Furthermore, using velocity and displacement as additional features has been proven to increase the performance of every model.
  2. Abed M, Imteaz MA, Ahmed AN, Huang YF
    Sci Rep, 2021 Oct 20;11(1):20742.
    PMID: 34671081 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-99999-y
    Evaporation is a key element for water resource management, hydrological modelling, and irrigation system designing. Monthly evaporation (Ep) was projected by deploying three machine learning (ML) models included Extreme Gradient Boosting, ElasticNet Linear Regression, and Long Short-Term Memory; and two empirical techniques namely Stephens-Stewart and Thornthwaite. The aim of this study is to develop a reliable generalised model to predict evaporation throughout Malaysia. In this context, monthly meteorological statistics from two weather stations in Malaysia were utilised for training and testing the models on the basis of climatic aspects such as maximum temperature, mean temperature, minimum temperature, wind speed, relative humidity, and solar radiation for the period of 2000-2019. For every approach, multiple models were formulated by utilising various combinations of input parameters and other model factors. The performance of models was assessed by utilising standard statistical measures. The outcomes indicated that the three machine learning models formulated outclassed empirical models and could considerably enhance the precision of monthly Ep estimate even with the same combinations of inputs. In addition, the performance assessment showed that Long Short-Term Memory Neural Network (LSTM) offered the most precise monthly Ep estimations from all the studied models for both stations. The LSTM-10 model performance measures were (R2 = 0.970, MAE = 0.135, MSE = 0.027, RMSE = 0.166, RAE = 0.173, RSE = 0.029) for Alor Setar and (R2 = 0.986, MAE = 0.058, MSE = 0.005, RMSE = 0.074, RAE = 0.120, RSE = 0.013) for Kota Bharu.
  3. Zaini N, Ean LW, Ahmed AN, Malek MA
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2022 Jan;29(4):4958-4990.
    PMID: 34807385 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-17442-1
    Rapid progress of industrial development, urbanization and traffic has caused air quality reduction that negatively affects human health and environmental sustainability, especially among developed countries. Numerous studies on the development of air quality forecasting model using machine learning have been conducted to control air pollution. As such, there are significant numbers of reviews on the application of machine learning in air quality forecasting. Shallow architectures of machine learning exhibit several limitations and yield lower forecasting accuracy than deep learning architecture. Deep learning is a new technology in computational intelligence; thus, its application in air quality forecasting is still limited. This study aims to investigate the deep learning applications in time series air quality forecasting. Owing to this, literature search is conducted thoroughly from all scientific databases to avoid unnecessary clutter. This study summarizes and discusses different types of deep learning algorithms applied in air quality forecasting, including the theoretical backgrounds, hyperparameters, applications and limitations. Hybrid deep learning with data decomposition, optimization algorithm and spatiotemporal models are also presented to highlight those techniques' effectiveness in tackling the drawbacks of individual deep learning models. It is clearly stated that hybrid deep learning was able to forecast future air quality with higher accuracy than individual models. At the end of the study, some possible research directions are suggested for future model development. The main objective of this review study is to provide a comprehensive literature summary of deep learning applications in time series air quality forecasting that may benefit interested researchers for subsequent research.
  4. Al-Msari H, Koting S, Ahmed AN, El-Shafie A
    Heliyon, 2024 Feb 29;10(4):e25936.
    PMID: 38384549 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2024.e25936
    Examining driving behaviour is crucial for traffic operations because of its influence on driver safety and the potential for increased risk of accidents, injuries, and fatalities. Approximately 95% of severe traffic collisions can be attributed to human error. With the progress in artificial intelligence in recent decades, notable advancements have been achieved in computer capabilities, communication systems and data collection technology. This increase has significantly influenced our capacity to replicate driver behaviour and comprehend underlying driving mechanisms in diverse situations. Traffic microsimulation facilitates an understanding of traffic performance inside a given road network. Among the microsimulation software packages, Verkehr In Städten - SIMulationsmodell (VISSIM) has garnered significant attention owing to its notable ability to accurately replicate traffic circumstances with high dependability in real-world scenarios. Given the diverse applicability of VISSIM-based schemes, this review systematically examines the applications of the VISSIM-based driving-behaviour models within different research contexts, revealing their utility. This review is designed to provide guidance for researchers in selecting the most suitable methodological approach tailored to their specific research objectives and constraints when utilising VISSIM. Five important aspects, including calibration, driving behaviour, incident, and heterogeneous traffic simulation, as well as utilisation of artificial intelligence with VISSIM, are assessed, which could yield substantial advantages in advancing more precise and authentic driving-behaviour modelling in VISSIM.
  5. Naim NNN, Mardi NH, Malek MA, Teh SY, Wil MA, Shuja AH, et al.
    Environ Monit Assess, 2021 Jun 10;193(7):405.
    PMID: 34110509 DOI: 10.1007/s10661-021-09179-8
    The massive destruction and loss caused by the 2004 Sumatra-Andaman tsunami were attributed to the lack of knowledge on tsunami and low regional detection and communication systems for early warning in that region. This study aimed to identify locations at risk of impending tsunami from Andaman Sea for the safety of community and proper development planning at the coastal areas by providing an updated and revised inundation maps. The last study on this area was conducted several years ago which open the possibility to new findings. Generated by tsunami simulation models, the maps illustrate the extent and level of inundation to which the coastal community and infrastructure would be subjected. As a result of coastal changes and availability of better topographic data, the existing inundation maps for the coastal areas of northwest Peninsular Malaysia at risk to impending tsunami from the Andaman Sea are revised. This paper documented the computational setup leading to the generation of the revised inundation maps. The tsunami simulation model TUNA was used to simulate the generation, propagation, and subsequent run-up and inundation of tsunamis triggered by earthquakes of moment magnitudes (Mw) 8.5, 9.0, and 9.25 along the Sunda Trench. From the simulations, it was found that at Mw 9.25, Balik Pulau, Pulau Pinang would be subjected to inundation of as far as 3.47 km with 5.40-m-deep inundation at the highest section.
  6. AlDahoul N, Essam Y, Kumar P, Ahmed AN, Sherif M, Sefelnasr A, et al.
    Sci Rep, 2021 04 09;11(1):7826.
    PMID: 33837236 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-87415-4
    Rivers carry suspended sediments along with their flow. These sediments deposit at different places depending on the discharge and course of the river. However, the deposition of these sediments impacts environmental health, agricultural activities, and portable water sources. Deposition of suspended sediments reduces the flow area, thus affecting the movement of aquatic lives and ultimately leading to the change of river course. Thus, the data of suspended sediments and their variation is crucial information for various authorities. Various authorities require the forecasted data of suspended sediments in the river to operate various hydraulic structures properly. Usually, the prediction of suspended sediment concentration (SSC) is challenging due to various factors, including site-related data, site-related modelling, lack of multiple observed factors used for prediction, and pattern complexity.Therefore, to address previous problems, this study proposes a Long Short Term Memory model to predict suspended sediments in Malaysia's Johor River utilizing only one observed factor, including discharge data. The data was collected for the period of 1988-1998. Four different models were tested, in this study, for the prediction of suspended sediments, which are: ElasticNet Linear Regression (L.R.), Multi-Layer Perceptron (MLP) neural network, Extreme Gradient Boosting, and Long Short-Term Memory. Predictions were analysed based on four different scenarios such as daily, weekly, 10-daily, and monthly. Performance evaluation stated that Long Short-Term Memory outperformed other models with the regression values of 92.01%, 96.56%, 96.71%, and 99.45% daily, weekly, 10-days, and monthly scenarios, respectively.
  7. Alizamir M, Kisi O, Ahmed AN, Mert C, Fai CM, Kim S, et al.
    PLoS One, 2020;15(4):e0231055.
    PMID: 32287272 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0231055
    Soil temperature has a vital importance in biological, physical and chemical processes of terrestrial ecosystem and its modeling at different depths is very important for land-atmosphere interactions. The study compares four machine learning techniques, extreme learning machine (ELM), artificial neural networks (ANN), classification and regression trees (CART) and group method of data handling (GMDH) in estimating monthly soil temperatures at four different depths. Various combinations of climatic variables are utilized as input to the developed models. The models' outcomes are also compared with multi-linear regression based on Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency, root mean square error, and coefficient of determination statistics. ELM is found to be generally performs better than the other four alternatives in estimating soil temperatures. A decrease in performance of the models is observed by an increase in soil depth. It is found that soil temperatures at three depths (5, 10 and 50 cm) could be mapped utilizing only air temperature data as input while solar radiation and wind speed information are also required for estimating soil temperature at the depth of 100 cm.
  8. Abdullah S, Abd Hamid FF, Ismail M, Ahmed AN, Wan Mansor WN
    Data Brief, 2019 Aug;25:103969.
    PMID: 31198825 DOI: 10.1016/j.dib.2019.103969
    The aim of the measurement of this data is to evaluate the Indoor Air Quality (IAQ) in terms of chemical and physical parameters. Data were collected at three different kindergartens having different surrounding activities (industrial, institutional, residential area). The chemical parameters measured were respirable suspended particulates of PM10, PM2.5, PM1, carbon monoxide and carbon dioxide, and the concentrations are within the acceptable limit. Physical parameters of wind speed are within the standard, while temperature and relative humidity exceeded the acceptable limit. A strong correlation was found between the chemical IAQ parameters with thermal comfort parameters (temperature and relative humidity). The concentration of IAQ pollutants is higher in order of residential > institutional > industrial.
  9. Essam Y, Huang YF, Birima AH, Ahmed AN, El-Shafie A
    Sci Rep, 2022 01 07;12(1):302.
    PMID: 34997183 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-04419-w
    High loads of suspended sediments in rivers are known to cause detrimental effects to potable water sources, river water quality, irrigation activities, and dam or reservoir operations. For this reason, the study of suspended sediment load (SSL) prediction is important for monitoring and damage mitigation purposes. The present study tests and develops machine learning (ML) models, based on the support vector machine (SVM), artificial neural network (ANN) and long short-term memory (LSTM) algorithms, to predict SSL based on 11 different river data sets comprising of streamflow (SF) and SSL data obtained from the Malaysian Department of Irrigation and Drainage. The main objective of the present study is to propose a single model that is capable of accurately predicting SSLs for any river data set within Peninsular Malaysia. The ANN3 model, based on the ANN algorithm and input scenario 3 (inputs consisting of current-day SF, previous-day SF, and previous-day SSL), is determined as the best model in the present study as it produced the best predictive performance for 5 out of 11 of the tested data sets and obtained the highest average RM with a score of 2.64 when compared to the other tested models, indicating that it has the highest reliability to produce relatively high-accuracy SSL predictions for different data sets. Therefore, the ANN3 model is proposed as a universal model for the prediction of SSL within Peninsular Malaysia.
  10. Hanoon MS, Ahmed AN, Zaini N, Razzaq A, Kumar P, Sherif M, et al.
    Sci Rep, 2021 09 23;11(1):18935.
    PMID: 34556676 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-021-96872-w
    Accurately predicting meteorological parameters such as air temperature and humidity plays a crucial role in air quality management. This study proposes different machine learning algorithms: Gradient Boosting Tree (G.B.T.), Random forest (R.F.), Linear regression (LR) and different artificial neural network (ANN) architectures (multi-layered perceptron, radial basis function) for prediction of such as air temperature (T) and relative humidity (Rh). Daily data over 24 years for Kula Terengganu station were obtained from the Malaysia Meteorological Department. Results showed that MLP-NN performs well among the others in predicting daily T and Rh with R of 0.7132 and 0.633, respectively. However, in monthly prediction T also MLP-NN model provided closer standards deviation to actual value and can be used to predict monthly T with R 0.8462. Whereas in prediction monthly Rh, the RBF-NN model's efficiency was higher than other models with R of 0.7113. To validate the performance of the trained both artificial neural network (ANN) architectures MLP-NN and RBF-NN, both were applied to an unseen data set from observation data in the region. The results indicated that on either architecture of ANN, there is good potential to predict daily and monthly T and Rh values with an acceptable range of accuracy.
  11. Zaini N, Ean LW, Ahmed AN, Abdul Malek M, Chow MF
    Sci Rep, 2022 Oct 20;12(1):17565.
    PMID: 36266317 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-022-21769-1
    Rapid growth in industrialization and urbanization have resulted in high concentration of air pollutants in the environment and thus causing severe air pollution. Excessive emission of particulate matter to ambient air has negatively impacted the health and well-being of human society. Therefore, accurate forecasting of air pollutant concentration is crucial to mitigate the associated health risk. This study aims to predict the hourly PM2.5 concentration for an urban area in Malaysia using a hybrid deep learning model. Ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) was employed to decompose the original sequence data of particulate matter into several subseries. Long short-term memory (LSTM) was used to individually forecast the decomposed subseries considering the influence of air pollutant parameters for 1-h ahead forecasting. Then, the outputs of each forecast were aggregated to obtain the final forecasting of PM2.5 concentration. This study utilized two air quality datasets from two monitoring stations to validate the performance of proposed hybrid EEMD-LSTM model based on various data distributions. The spatial and temporal correlation for the proposed dataset were analysed to determine the significant input parameters for the forecasting model. The LSTM architecture consists of two LSTM layers and the data decomposition method is added in the data pre-processing stage to improve the forecasting accuracy. Finally, a comparison analysis was conducted to compare the performance of the proposed model with other deep learning models. The results illustrated that EEMD-LSTM yielded the highest accuracy results among other deep learning models, and the hybrid forecasting model was proved to have superior performance as compared to individual models.
  12. Allias Omar SM, Wan Ariffin WNH, Mohd Sidek L, Basri H, Moh Khambali MH, Ahmed AN
    Int J Environ Res Public Health, 2022 Dec 09;19(24).
    PMID: 36554413 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph192416530
    Extensive hydrological analysis is carried out to estimate floods for the Batu Dam, a hydropower dam located in the urban area upstream of Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia. The study demonstrates the operational state and reliability of the dam structure based on hydrologic assessment of the dam. The surrounding area is affected by heavy rainfall and climate change every year, which increases the probability of flooding and threatens a dense population downstream of the dam. This study evaluates the adequacy of dam spillways by considering the latest Probable Maximum Precipitation (PMP) and Probable Maximum Flood (PMF) values of the concerned dams. In this study, the PMP estimations are applied using comparison of both statistical method by Hershfield and National Hydraulic Research Institute of Malaysia (NAHRIM) Envelope Curve as input for PMF establishments. Since the PMF is derived from the PMP values, the highest design flood standard can be applied to any dam, ensuring inflow into the reservoirs and limiting the risk of dam structural failure. Hydrologic modeling using HEC-HMS provides PMF values for the Batu dam. Based on the results, Batu Dam is found to have 200.6 m3/s spillway discharge capacities. Under PMF conditions, the Batu dam will not face overtopping since the peak outflow of the reservoir level is still below the crest level of the dam.
  13. Jumin E, Basaruddin FB, Yusoff YBM, Latif SD, Ahmed AN
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2021 Jun;28(21):26571-26583.
    PMID: 33484461 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-12435-6
    Reliable and accurate prediction model capturing the changes in solar radiation is essential in the power generation and renewable carbon-free energy industry. Malaysia has immense potential to develop such an industry due to its location in the equatorial zone and its climatic characteristics with high solar energy resources. However, solar energy accounts for only 2-4.6% of total energy utilization. Recently, in developed countries, various prediction models based on artificial intelligence (AI) techniques have been applied to predict solar radiation. In this study, one of the most recent AI algorithms, namely, boosted decision tree regression (BDTR) model, was applied to predict the changes in solar radiation based on collected data in Malaysia. The proposed model then compared with other conventional regression algorithms, such as linear regression and neural network. Two different normalization techniques (Gaussian normalizer binning normalizer), splitting size, and different input parameters were investigated to enhance the accuracy of the models. Sensitivity analysis and uncertainty analysis were introduced to validate the accuracy of the proposed model. The results revealed that BDTR outperformed other algorithms with a high level of accuracy. The funding of this study could be used as a reliable tool by engineers to improve the renewable energy sector in Malaysia and provide alternative sustainable energy resources.
  14. Mohd Azlan NNI, Abdul Malek M, Zolkepli M, Mohd Salim J, Ahmed AN
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2021 Apr;28(16):20261-20272.
    PMID: 33405154 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-11908-4
    Sustainable water demand management has become a necessity to the world since the immensely growing population and development have caused water deficit and groundwater depletion. This study aims to overcome water deficit by analyzing water demand at Kenyir Lake, Terengganu, using a fuzzy inference system (FIS). The analysis is widened by comparing FIS with the multiple linear regression (MLR) method. FIS applied as an analysis tool provides good generalization capability for optimum solutions and utilizes human behavior influenced by expert knowledge in water resources management for fuzzy rules specified in the system, whereas MLR can simultaneously adjust and compare several variables as per the needs of the study. The water demand dataset of Kenyir Lake was analyzed using FIS and MLR, resulting in total forecasted water consumptions at Kenyir Lake of 2314.38 m3 and 1358.22 m3, respectively. It is confirmed that both techniques converge close to the actual water consumption of 1249.98 m3. MLR showed the accuracy of the water demand values with smaller forecasted errors to be higher than FIS did. To attain sustainable water demand management, the techniques used can be examined extensively by researchers, educators, and learners by adding more variables, which will provide more anticipated outcomes.
  15. Ehteram M, Ahmed AN, Latif SD, Huang YF, Alizamir M, Kisi O, et al.
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2021 Jan;28(2):1596-1611.
    PMID: 32851519 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-020-10421-y
    There is a need to develop an accurate and reliable model for predicting suspended sediment load (SSL) because of its complexity and difficulty in practice. This is due to the fact that sediment transportation is extremely nonlinear and is directed by numerous parameters such as rainfall, sediment supply, and strength of flow. Thus, this study examined two scenarios to investigate the effectiveness of the artificial neural network (ANN) models and determine the sensitivity of the predictive accuracy of the model to specific input parameters. The first scenario proposed three advanced optimisers-whale algorithm (WA), particle swarm optimization (PSO), and bat algorithm (BA)-for the optimisation of the performance of artificial neural network (ANN) in accurately predicting the suspended sediment load rate at the Goorganrood basin, Iran. In total, 5 different input combinations were examined in various lag days of up to 5 days to make a 1-day-ahead SSL prediction. Scenario 2 introduced a multi-objective (MO) optimisation algorithm that utilises the same inputs from scenario 1 as a way of determining the best combination of inputs. Results from scenario 1 revealed that high accuracy levels were achieved upon utilisation of a hybrid ANN-WA model over the ANN-BA with an RMSE value ranging from 1 to 6%. Furthermore, the ANN-WA model performed better than the ANN-PSO with an accuracy improvement value of 5-20%. Scenario 2 achieved the highest R2 when ANN-MOWA was introduced which shows that hybridisation of the multi-objective algorithm with WA and ANN model significantly improves the accuracy of ANN in predicting the daily suspended sediment load.
  16. Ehteram M, Panahi F, Ahmed AN, Huang YF, Kumar P, Elshafie A
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2022 Feb;29(7):10675-10701.
    PMID: 34528189 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-021-16301-3
    Evaporation is a crucial component to be established in agriculture management and water engineering. Evaporation prediction is thus an essential issue for modeling researchers. In this study, the multilayer perceptron (MLP) was used for predicting daily evaporation. MLP model is as one of the famous ANN models with multilayers for predicting different target variables. A new strategy was used to enhance the accuracy of the MLP model. Three multi-objective algorithms, namely, the multi-objective salp swarm algorithm (MOSSA), the multi-objective crow algorithm (MOCA), and the multi-objective particle swarm optimization (MOPSO), were respectively and separately coupled to the MLP model for determining the model parameters, the best input combination, and the best activation function. In this study, three stations in Malaysia, namely, the Muadzam Shah (MS), the Kuala Terengganu (KT), and the Kuantan (KU), were selected for the prediction of the respective daily evaporation. The spacing (SP) and maximum spread (MS) indices were used to evaluate the quality of generated Pareto front (PF) by the algorithms. The lower SP and higher MS showed better PF for the models. It was observed that the MOSSA had higher MS and lower SP than the other algorithms, at all stations. The root means square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), percent bias (PBIAS), and Nash Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) quantifiers were used to compare the ability of the models with each other. The MLP-MOSSA had reduced RMSE compared to the MLP-MOCA, MLP-MOPSO, and MLP models by 18%, 25%, and 35%, respectively, at the MS station. The MAE of the MLP-MOSSA was 2.7%, 4.1%, and 26%, respectively lower than those of the MLP-MOCA, MLP-MOPSO, and MLP models at the KU station. The MLP-MOSSA showed lower MAE than the MLP-MOCA, MLP-MOPSO, and MLP models by 16%, 18%, and 19%, respectively, at the KT station. An uncertainty analysis was performed based on the input and parameter uncertainty. The results indicated that the MLP-MOSSA had the lowest uncertainty among the models. Also, the input uncertainty was lower than the parameter uncertainty. The general results indicated that the MLP-MOSSA had the high efficiency for predicting evaporation.
  17. Jalil-Masir H, Fattahi R, Ghanbari-Adivi E, Asadi Aghbolaghi M, Ehteram M, Ahmed AN, et al.
    Environ Sci Pollut Res Int, 2022 Sep;29(44):67180-67213.
    PMID: 35522411 DOI: 10.1007/s11356-022-20472-y
    Predicting sediment transport rate (STR) in the presence of flexible vegetation is a critical task for modelers. Sediment transport modeling methods in the coastal region is equally challenging due to the nonlinearity of the STR-vegetation interaction. In the present study, the kernel extreme learning model (KELM) was integrated with the seagull optimization algorithm (SEOA), the crow optimization algorithm (COA), the firefly algorithm (FFA), and particle swarm optimization (PSO) to estimate the STR in the presence of vegetation cover. The rigidity index, D50/wave height, Newton number, drag coefficient, and cover density were used as inputs to the models. The root mean square error (RMSE), the mean absolute error (MAE), and percentage of bias (PBIAS) were used to evaluate the capability of models. This study applied the novel ensemble model, and the inclusive multiple model (IMM), to assemble the outputs of the KELM models. In addition, the innovations of this study were the introduction of a new IMM model, and the use of new hybrid KELM models for predicting STR and investigating the effects of various parameters on the STR. At the testing level, the MAE of the IMM model was 22, 60, 68, 73, and 76% lower than those of the KELM-SEOA, KELM-COA, KELM-PSO, and KELM models, respectively. The IMM had a PBIAS of 5, whereas the KELM-SEOA, KELM-COA, KELM-PSOA, and KELM had PBIAS of 9, 12, 14, 18, and 21%, respectively. The results indicated that the increasing drag coefficient and D50/wave height had decreased the STR. From the findings, it was revealed that the IMM and KELM-SEOA had higher predictive ability for STR. Since the sediment is one of the most important sources of environmental pollution, therefore, this study is useful for monitoring and controlling environmental pollution.
  18. AlDahoul N, Momo MA, Chong KL, Ahmed AN, Huang YF, Sherif M, et al.
    Sci Rep, 2023 Sep 04;13(1):14574.
    PMID: 37666880 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-41735-9
    Due to excessive streamflow (SF), Peninsular Malaysia has historically experienced floods and droughts. Forecasting streamflow to mitigate municipal and environmental damage is therefore crucial. Streamflow prediction has been extensively demonstrated in the literature to estimate the continuous values of streamflow level. Prediction of continuous values of streamflow is not necessary in several applications and at the same time it is very challenging task because of uncertainty. A streamflow category prediction is more advantageous for addressing the uncertainty in numerical point forecasting, considering that its predictions are linked to a propensity to belong to the pre-defined classes. Here, we formulate streamflow prediction as a time series classification with discrete ranges of values, each representing a class to classify streamflow into five or ten, respectively, using machine learning approaches in various rivers in Malaysia. The findings reveal that several models, specifically LSTM, outperform others in predicting the following n-time steps of streamflow because LSTM is able to learn the mapping between streamflow time series of 2 or 3 days ahead more than support vector machine (SVM) and gradient boosting (GB). LSTM produces higher F1 score in various rivers (by 5% in Johor, 2% in Kelantan and Melaka and Selangor, 4% in Perlis) in 2 days ahead scenario. Furthermore, the ensemble stacking of the SVM and GB achieves high performance in terms of F1 score and quadratic weighted kappa. Ensemble stacking gives 3% higher F1 score in Perak river compared to SVM and gradient boosting.
  19. Mijwel AS, Ahmed AN, Afan HA, Alayan HM, Sherif M, Elshafie A
    Sci Rep, 2023 Oct 25;13(1):18260.
    PMID: 37880280 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-023-45032-3
    This study aims to assess the practicality of utilizing artificial intelligence (AI) to replicate the adsorption capability of functionalized carbon nanotubes (CNTs) in the context of methylene blue (MB) removal. The process of generating the carbon nanotubes involved the pyrolysis of acetylene under conditions that were determined to be optimal. These conditions included a reaction temperature of 550 °C, a reaction time of 37.3 min, and a gas ratio (H2/C2H2) of 1.0. The experimental data pertaining to MB adsorption on CNTs was found to be extremely well-suited to the Pseudo-second-order model, as evidenced by an R2 value of 0.998, an X2 value of 5.75, a qe value of 163.93 (mg/g), and a K2 value of 6.34 × 10-4 (g/mg min).The MB adsorption system exhibited the best agreement with the Langmuir model, yielding an R2 of 0.989, RL value of 0.031, qm value of 250.0 mg/g. The results of AI modelling demonstrated a remarkable performance using a recurrent neural network, achieving with the highest correlation coefficient of R2 = 0.9471. Additionally, the feed-forward neural network yielded a correlation coefficient of R2 = 0.9658. The modeling results hold promise for accurately predicting the adsorption capacity of CNTs, which can potentially enhance their efficiency in removing methylene blue from wastewater.
  20. Adli Zakaria MN, Ahmed AN, Abdul Malek M, Birima AH, Hayet Khan MM, Sherif M, et al.
    Heliyon, 2023 Jul;9(7):e17689.
    PMID: 37456046 DOI: 10.1016/j.heliyon.2023.e17689
    Accurate water level prediction for both lake and river is essential for flood warning and freshwater resource management. In this study, three machine learning algorithms: multi-layer perceptron neural network (MLP-NN), long short-term memory neural network (LSTM) and extreme gradient boosting XGBoost were applied to develop water level forecasting models in Muda River, Malaysia. The models were developed using limited amount of daily water level and meteorological data from 2016 to 2018. Different input scenarios were tested to investigate the performance of the models. The results of the evaluation showed that the MLP model outperformed both the LSTM and the XGBoost models in predicting water levels, with an overall accuracy score of 0.871 compared to 0.865 for LSTM and 0.831 for XGBoost. No noticeable improvement has been achieved after incorporating meteorological data into the models. Even though the lowest reported performance was reported by the XGBoost, it is the faster of the three algorithms due to its advanced parallel processing capabilities and distributed computing architecture. In terms of different time horizons, the LSTM model was found to be more accurate than the MLP and XGBoost model when predicting 7 days ahead, demonstrating its superiority in capturing long-term dependencies. Therefore, it can be concluded that each ML model has its own merits and weaknesses, and the performance of different ML models differs on each case because these models depends largely on the quantity and quality of data available for the model training.
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