Population Pharmacokinetic Modeling of Cyclosporine Among Malaysian Renal Transplant Patients: An Evaluation of Methods to Handle Missing Doses in Conventional Drug-Monitoring Data

Cyclosporine is a primary drug in transplant immunosuppression regimens. It has a narrow therapeutic index and variable pharmacokinetic behavior. This study aimed to develop a population pharmacokinetic model of cyclosporine in Malaysian renal transplant recipients as well as to evaluate the performances of different methodsfor handling missing doses. A total of 2804 concentrationts predose and 2 hours after doses were collected retrospectively from 113 renal transplant patients on cyclosporine in Penang General Hospital. Model structure and pharmacokinetic parameters were estimated using nonlinear mixed-effects modeling software. Missing doses were handled using different methods to evaluate their performance. Covariate analysis was performed using stepwise forward addition (P < .05) followed by backward elimination (P < .001). Prediction-corrected visual predictive check and sampling-importance resampling methods were used to validate the final model. A 1-compartment model with first-order absorption and elimination best fitted the data. All methods to handle missing doses performed well with the missing dose method being superior to other methods and thus was applied in the final model. Cyclosporine clearance (CL/F) was estimated as 15.1 L/h, and volume of distribution (V/F) was 108 L. Postoperative time, sex, and calcium channel blockers were identified as significant covariates on CL/F, whereas sex and cholesterol level were identified as significant covariates on V/F. This is the first population pharmacokinetic model developed in Malaysian renal transplant patients using a large sample with an evaluation of different methods to handle missing doses in less informative conventional therapeutic drug-monitoring data.